Neutrino

Turn your vault into a self‑driving hedge fund. This is the next gen DeFi

Neutrino

Created At

ETHGlobal New Delhi

Project Description

The problem Reflexion Vaults solves ⚡ Problem Statement Current DeFi leverage products are static, manual, and liquidation‑prone. Users either:

Over‑leverage on lending protocols (Aave, Compound) → get liquidated in fast crashes.

Trade perpetuals (GMX, dYdX) → pay funding, actively monitor positions.

Loop farm for extra yield → complex, gas‑heavy, easy to mess up.

These approaches ignore reflexivity risk — the self‑reinforcing cycle where more leverage → thinner liquidity → bigger price moves → more liquidations. As a result, users face:

Sudden liquidations - 70 % to –100 % capital loss High gas & complexity - Multiple txs, constant babysitting MEV & slippage - Extra hidden costs on every rebalance Poor risk‑adjusted returns - High volatility, low Sharpe ratio 🪞 How Reflexion Vaults Solve It?

Reflexivity Score Engine - Quantifies market fragility in real‑time (0–1). Dynamic Leverage Curve - Auto‑scales exposure up in calm periods, down in turbulent ones – before liquidations hit. Slippage‑Aware Router - Simulates price impact, routes via best‑depth pools, mitigates MEV. Keeper‑based Automation - Off‑chain bots batch rebalances, so users sign one deposit and forget. Real Time Data Streaming - Calculates reflexivity score in real time and trigger rebalances if the threshold is violated 👤 Why would users care?

Higher risk‑adjusted yield - capture upside with 1.5‑3× leverage only when safe. Stress‑free - no spreadsheets, no 3 AM liquidation alerts. MEV‑resistant exits - protected pricing during volatile dumps. Dynamic Leverage - Benefit from market rallies and hedge your positions from sudden crash ⚙️ Working of the Reflexivity Engine

The Reflexivity Engine is designed to actively manage systemic risk and optimize leverage in DeFi by continuously analyzing real-time market dynamics. At its core is a mathematically governed Leverage Curve, which captures the non-linear relationship between reflexivity and allowable leverage:

How it's Made

📊 Reflexivity Score: Multi-Factor Model

The Reflexivity Score RS incorporates key market stress and feedback signals, calculated as:

RS(t) = α₁ · (dP/dF) + α₂ · (dF/dP) + β₁ · OG(t) + β₂ · M_EMA(t) + β₃ · VEL(t)

Where:

dP/dF = Sensitivity of price to fundamental changes (Perception Feedback) dF/dP = Sensitivity of fundamentals to price movements (Fundamental Feedback) OG(t) = Options Growth Index, tracking the expansion of derivative exposure as a leverage amplifier M_EMA(t) = Momentum EMA, capturing short-to-medium term price trend acceleration VEL(t) = Velocity, representing the rate of capital flow or transaction intensity on-chain The parameters α₁, α₂ , β₁, β₂ weight each component based on empirical calibration to market conditions. 🔁 Operational Workflow

Real-Time Market Monitoring

Tracks price movements, liquidity, derivatives expansion, momentum shifts, and on-chain activity velocity Reflexivity Computation

Calculates the Reflexivity Score $RS(t)$ by aggregating perception-fundamental feedback loops with leading indicators like Options Growth, Momentum EMA, and Velocity Dynamic Leverage Adjustment

Applies the Leverage Curve formula to adjust user or protocol leverage Higher RS → Leverage automatically reduced Lower RS → Leverage optimized for efficiency while maintaining safety Liquidation Risk Prevention

The system automatically limits leverage during high-reflexivity conditions to help avoid dangerous situations where the market becomes unstable and widespread liquidations can occur.

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